Games Scanned
8
Upsets
…
from Comeback Watch
Window
7d
Comeback Watch
Win prob < 30% at/before inning 5 → > 97% in inning 6+ → team won. Past 7 days.
Loading play-by-play win probability series…
Late Comeback Leaders
Teams that won after trailing below 30% win probability at the end of the 5th inning. Past 7 days.
Loading play-by-play data for late comeback analysis…
Subset:
Team:
Team Performance
| Team | W | L | Win % | As Fav | Fav Hit % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL Brewers | 14 | 2 | 87.5% | 8 | 100.0% |
| TB Rays | 11 | 6 | 64.7% | 7 | 85.7% |
| CLE Guardians | 11 | 7 | 61.1% | 9 | 77.8% |
| CHW White Sox | 10 | 5 | 66.7% | 9 | 66.7% |
| LAD Dodgers | 9 | 7 | 56.3% | 15 | 60.0% |
| SD Padres | 9 | 5 | 64.3% | 7 | 85.7% |
| ATL Braves | 7 | 8 | 46.7% | 7 | 57.1% |
| NYY Yankees | 6 | 7 | 46.2% | 10 | 60.0% |
| ARI Diamondbacks | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | 6 | 83.3% |
| WSH Nationals | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | 2 | 50.0% |
| PIT Pirates | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | 5 | 80.0% |
| MIN Twins | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | 4 | 75.0% |
| PHI Phillies | 4 | 7 | 36.4% | 7 | 57.1% |
| HOU Astros | 4 | 6 | 40.0% | 8 | 37.5% |
| CHC Cubs | 4 | 6 | 40.0% | 8 | 50.0% |
| NYM Mets | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | 3 | 66.7% |
| MIA Marlins | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | 1 | 100.0% |
| SEA Mariners | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | 8 | 50.0% |
| BAL Orioles | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | 5 | 80.0% |
| BOS Red Sox | 3 | 7 | 30.0% | 3 | 33.3% |
| ATH Athletics | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | 1 | 100.0% |
| TOR Blue Jays | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | 3 | 66.7% |
| CIN Reds | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | 0 | — |
| DET Tigers | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | 6 | 50.0% |
| TEX Rangers | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | 7 | 42.9% |
| LAA Angels | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | 2 | 50.0% |
| KC Royals | 2 | 6 | 25.0% | 1 | 100.0% |
| COL Rockies | 2 | 6 | 25.0% | 0 | — |
| STL Cardinals | 2 | 6 | 25.0% | 2 | 50.0% |
| SF Giants | 1 | 7 | 12.5% | 0 | — |
Sun, Oct 18
1 gameSat, Oct 17
1 gameFri, Oct 16
1 gameThu, Oct 15
2 gamesWed, Oct 14
1 gameTue, Oct 13
1 gameMon, Oct 12
2 gamesSun, Oct 11
1 gameSat, Oct 10
1 gameThu, Oct 8
1 gameWed, Oct 7
4 gamesTue, Oct 6
2 gamesMon, Oct 5
2 gamesSun, Oct 4
2 gamesSat, Oct 3
4 gamesThu, Oct 1
1 gameWed, Sep 30
4 gamesTue, Sep 29
4 gamesSun, Sep 27
15 gamesCanceled
Orioles
0
+100
47.8%
YankeesFav
0
-120
52.2%
Final
UPSET
MetsFav
4
-112
50.4%
NationalsW
6
-108
49.6%
Final
FAV WON
Rays
3
+169
35.5%
PhilliesFavW
7
-207
64.5%
Final
FAV WON
CubsFavW
6
-120
52.1%
Red Sox
2
-101
47.9%
Final
FAV WON
AstrosFavW
9
-199
63.6%
Athletics
0
+163
36.4%
Final
FAV WON
DodgersFavW
5
-249
68.2%
Giants
1
+201
31.8%
Final
FAV WON
Reds
1
+141
39.7%
Blue JaysFavW
5
-171
60.3%
Final
FAV WON
Braves
3
+105
46.7%
MarlinsFavW
5
-126
53.3%
Final
UPSET
PiratesW
4
+101
47.5%
TigersFav
2
-122
52.5%
Final
FAV WON
Guardians
2
-109
49.8%
RoyalsFavW
3
-111
50.2%
Final
FAV WON
Rockies
2
+135
40.7%
White SoxFavW
4
-163
59.3%
Final
FAV WON
Cardinals
4
+178
34.4%
BrewersFavW
6
-218
65.6%
Final
UPSET
RangersFav
4
-115
51.1%
TwinsW
6
-105
48.9%
Final
FAV WON
Angels
3
+137
40.3%
MarinersFavW
7
-166
59.7%
Final
UPSET
DiamondbacksFav
4
-156
58.3%
PadresW
9
+129
41.7%
Sat, Sep 26
13 gamesFinal
UPSET
MetsW
7
-109
49.9%
NationalsFav
1
-110
50.1%
Final
FAV WON
Pirates
3
-101
47.9%
TigersFavW
4
-120
52.1%
Final
UPSET
RedsW
5
+139
40.0%
Blue JaysFav
1
-168
60.0%
Final
FAV WON
DodgersFavW
4
-292
71.3%
Giants
3
+233
28.7%
Final
FAV WON
BravesFavW
8
-118
51.7%
Marlins
3
-102
48.3%
Final
FAV WON
RangersFavW
6
-125
53.1%
Twins
2
+104
46.9%
Final
FAV WON
GuardiansFavW
11
-112
50.4%
Royals
5
-108
49.6%
Final
UPSET
RockiesW
9
+211
30.8%
White SoxFav
6
-262
69.2%
Final
FAV WON
Cardinals
2
+134
40.8%
BrewersFavW
3
-163
59.2%
Final
UPSET
RaysW
12
+108
46.0%
PhilliesFav
1
-130
54.0%
Final
FAV WON
Diamondbacks
7
+104
46.9%
PadresFavW
10
-125
53.1%
Final
FAV WON
Angels
4
+134
40.8%
MarinersFavW
8
-163
59.2%
Final
FAV WON
AstrosFavW
13
-170
60.2%
Athletics
2
+140
39.8%
Fri, Sep 25
17 gamesFinal
UPSET
CubsFav
3
-123
52.7%
Red SoxW
4
+102
47.3%
Final
FAV WON
OriolesFavW
10
-113
50.8%
Yankees
2
-106
49.2%
Final
UPSET
CubsFav
0
-120
52.1%
Red SoxW
2
-101
47.9%
Final
FAV WON
Pirates
7
+100
47.7%
TigersFavW
8
-121
52.3%
Final
UPSET
RaysW
2
+152
38.0%
PhilliesFav
0
-184
62.0%
Final
FAV WON
Mets
6
-108
49.6%
NationalsFavW
7
-112
50.4%
Final
FAV WON
Reds
5
+143
39.3%
Blue JaysFavW
6
-174
60.7%
Final
UPSET
BravesFav
0
-115
51.1%
MarlinsW
3
-105
48.9%
Final
FAV WON
Orioles
3
-102
48.3%
YankeesFavW
6
-118
51.7%
Final
FAV WON
GuardiansFavW
12
-148
57.0%
Royals
9
+122
43.0%
Final
FAV WON
Rockies
1
+200
31.9%
White SoxFavW
6
-247
68.1%
Final
FAV WON
Cardinals
4
+158
37.0%
BrewersFavW
8
-193
63.0%
Final
UPSET
RangersFav
2
-126
53.3%
TwinsW
10
+105
46.7%
Final
FAV WON
DiamondbacksFavW
11
-115
51.1%
Padres
4
-105
48.9%
Final
UPSET
AstrosFav
5
-203
64.1%
AthleticsW
6
+166
35.9%
Final
UPSET
AngelsW
7
-105
48.9%
MarinersFav
5
-115
51.1%
Final
FAV WON
DodgersFavW
2
-337
73.7%
Giants
0
+264
26.3%
Thu, Sep 24
12 gamesFinal
FAV WON
Cardinals
1
+138
40.2%
PiratesFavW
2
-167
59.8%
Final
FAV WON
White SoxFavW
9
-142
56.1%
Royals
1
+118
43.9%
Final
FAV WON
Marlins
1
+184
33.7%
CubsFavW
2
-226
66.3%
Final
FAV WON
Mets
1
+110
45.6%
RangersFavW
3
-132
54.4%
Final
FAV WON
DiamondbacksFavW
12
-196
63.3%
Rockies
8
+161
36.7%
Final
UPSET
BrewersW
5
+109
45.8%
PhilliesFav
1
-131
54.2%
Final
UPSET
GuardiansW
1
+106
46.5%
Red SoxFav
0
-127
53.5%
Final
FAV WON
Rays
4
+123
42.8%
YankeesFavW
6
-149
57.2%
Final
UPSET
RedsW
7
+194
32.5%
BravesFav
6
-239
67.5%
Final
UPSET
AngelsW
6
+163
36.4%
MarinersFav
4
-198
63.6%
Final
FAV WON
AstrosFavW
7
-180
61.5%
Athletics
5
+148
38.5%
Final
UPSET
PadresW
4
+144
39.2%
DodgersFav
2
-175
60.8%
Wed, Sep 23
16 gamesFinal
UPSET
NationalsW
4
+136
40.5%
TigersFav
2
-165
59.5%
Final
FAV WON
Blue Jays
2
+106
46.5%
OriolesFavW
4
-127
53.5%
Final
FAV WON
TwinsFavW
4
-155
58.2%
Giants
2
+129
41.8%
Final
FAV WON
Blue Jays
2
+102
47.3%
OriolesFavW
4
-123
52.7%
Final
FAV WON
BrewersFavW
4
-126
53.2%
Phillies
1
+104
46.8%
Final
UPSET
CardinalsW
5
+114
44.6%
PiratesFav
1
-138
55.4%
Final
FAV WON
Guardians
0
+118
43.8%
Red SoxFavW
1
-143
56.2%
Final
FAV WON
Rays
2
+118
43.8%
YankeesFavW
9
-143
56.2%
Final
FAV WON
Reds
2
+223
29.6%
BravesFavW
3
-279
70.4%
Final
UPSET
White SoxFav
4
-122
52.5%
RoyalsW
5
+101
47.5%
Final
UPSET
MarlinsW
3
+159
36.9%
CubsFav
2
-194
63.1%
Final
FAV WON
MetsFavW
7
-113
50.6%
Rangers
2
-107
49.4%
Final
FAV WON
DiamondbacksFavW
5
-168
60.0%
Rockies
3
+139
40.0%
Final
UPSET
AngelsFav
3
-142
56.1%
AthleticsW
7
+118
43.9%
Final
FAV WON
Astros
5
+108
46.0%
MarinersFavW
6
-130
54.0%
Final
UPSET
PadresW
5
+194
32.5%
DodgersFav
1
-239
67.5%
Tue, Sep 22
16 gamesFinal
FAV WON
Rays
0
+120
43.4%
YankeesFavW
2
-145
56.6%
Postponed
Blue Jays
0
+102
47.3%
OriolesFav
0
-123
52.7%
Final
FAV WON
Brewers
4
+134
40.9%
PhilliesFavW
6
-162
59.1%
Final
FAV WON
Cardinals
0
+140
39.9%
PiratesFavW
2
-169
60.1%
Final
UPSET
NationalsW
3
+129
41.7%
TigersFav
1
-156
58.3%
Final
UPSET
GuardiansW
3
+102
47.3%
Red SoxFav
2
-123
52.7%
Final
UPSET
RaysW
6
+104
46.9%
YankeesFav
1
-125
53.1%
Final
UPSET
RedsW
4
+194
32.5%
BravesFav
0
-239
67.5%
Final
FAV WON
White SoxFavW
14
-125
53.1%
Royals
11
+104
46.9%
Final
UPSET
MarlinsW
8
+181
34.0%
CubsFav
2
-223
66.0%
Final
UPSET
MetsW
6
+105
46.7%
RangersFav
3
-126
53.3%
Final
FAV WON
DiamondbacksFavW
7
-181
61.6%
Rockies
2
+149
38.4%
Final
FAV WON
Angels
7
-108
49.6%
AthleticsFavW
9
-112
50.4%
Final
UPSET
AstrosW
7
+109
45.7%
MarinersFav
0
-132
54.3%
Final
FAV WON
TwinsFavW
3
-144
56.4%
Giants
2
+119
43.6%
Final
FAV WON
Padres
0
+104
46.8%
DodgersFavW
7
-126
53.2%
Mon, Sep 21
3 gamesSun, Sep 20
15 gamesFinal
FAV WON
PhilliesFavW
7
-160
58.8%
Mets
2
+132
41.2%
Final
FAV WON
Royals
3
+101
47.5%
PiratesFavW
4
-122
52.5%
Final
FAV WON
Athletics
0
+213
30.6%
GuardiansFavW
1
-265
69.4%
Final
FAV WON
Red Sox
1
+127
42.1%
RaysFavW
5
-153
57.9%
Final
FAV WON
CubsFavW
9
-168
60.0%
Reds
1
+139
40.0%
Final
UPSET
BravesW
4
+133
41.0%
AstrosFav
2
-161
59.0%
Final
FAV WON
Tigers
1
-101
47.9%
White SoxFavW
8
-120
52.1%
Final
FAV WON
Nationals
3
+108
45.9%
CardinalsFavW
5
-131
54.1%
Final
UPSET
Blue JaysW
7
+145
39.0%
RangersFav
2
-176
61.0%
Final
FAV WON
MarinersFavW
2
-163
59.3%
Rockies
1
+135
40.7%
Final
FAV WON
TwinsFavW
8
-111
50.2%
Angels
0
-109
49.8%
Final
FAV WON
Marlins
3
+129
41.7%
PadresFavW
7
-156
58.3%
Final
FAV WON
Yankees
4
+105
46.7%
DiamondbacksFavW
8
-126
53.3%
Final
FAV WON
Giants
1
+229
29.1%
DodgersFavW
3
-287
70.9%
Final
FAV WON
BrewersFavW
3
-217
65.5%
Orioles
0
+177
34.5%
Sat, Sep 19
15 gamesFinal
FAV WON
Tigers
1
+113
44.9%
White SoxFavW
3
-136
55.1%
Final
UPSET
BrewersW
1
-109
49.8%
OriolesFav
0
-111
50.2%
Final
FAV WON
Red Sox
1
+125
42.5%
RaysFavW
2
-151
57.5%
Final
FAV WON
Phillies
3
+104
46.9%
MetsFavW
10
-125
53.1%
Final
FAV WON
Athletics
6
+154
37.6%
GuardiansFavW
12
-188
62.4%
Final
FAV WON
CubsFavW
5
-148
57.1%
Reds
2
+123
42.9%
Final
FAV WON
Royals
5
-101
48.0%
PiratesFavW
6
-119
52.0%
Final
FAV WON
Blue Jays
2
-106
49.1%
RangersFavW
6
-114
50.9%
Final
UPSET
BravesW
6
+114
44.7%
AstrosFav
3
-137
55.3%
Final
UPSET
NationalsW
8
-104
48.8%
CardinalsFav
5
-115
51.2%
Final
UPSET
MarinersFav
3
-149
57.2%
RockiesW
5
+123
42.8%
Final
UPSET
YankeesFav
3
-162
59.1%
DiamondbacksW
5
+134
40.9%
Final
FAV WON
Marlins
6
+130
41.5%
PadresFavW
7
-158
58.5%
Final
FAV WON
Giants
4
+318
22.9%
DodgersFavW
10
-415
77.1%
Final
FAV WON
Twins
5
+105
46.7%
AngelsFavW
6
-126
53.3%